#PredictionMarkets

11 entries

People (5)

Brian Quintenz Brian Quintenz was a CFTC commissioner from 2017 to 2021, then a16z crypto's head of policy and a Kalshi director; his 2025 nomination to chair the CFTC was withdrawn.
Donald Trump Jr. Donald Trump Jr. became a partner at 1789 Capital in November 2024, advised Kalshi from January 2025 and Polymarket from August 2025, and is a director of PSQ Holdings and GrabAGun.
Luana Lopes Lara Co-founder and chief operating officer of Kalshi, a native of Joinville, Brazil, who trained with the Bolshoi Theatre School in Joinville, danced in Austria and studied computer science at MIT.
Shayne Coplan Founder and chief executive of Polymarket, a college dropout who built crypto projects before launching the prediction market in 2020, and whose company's 2025 Intercontinental Exchange deal made him a reported billionaire.
Tarek Mansour Co-founder and chief executive of Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange, who studied at MIT, worked at Goldman Sachs and Citadel, and was listed by Forbes in 2025 as a self-made billionaire.

1789 Capital 1789 Capital is a Palm Beach investment firm that listed Omeed Malik, Rebekah Mercer and Christopher Buskirk in 2023, added Donald Trump Jr. as a partner in November 2024 and invested in Polymarket in 2025.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission The CFTC barred Nadex election contracts in 2012, fined Polymarket in 2022, disapproved Kalshi's congressional contracts in 2023, dropped its appeal of Kalshi's court win in 2025 and opened prediction-market rulemaking in 2026.
Kalshi Event-contract exchange designated by the CFTC in November 2020, backed by Sequoia, Paradigm and Andreessen Horowitz, with a former CFTC commissioner on its board and Donald Trump Jr. as a strategic adviser.
Polymarket Polymarket is a New York prediction market that a 2022 CFTC order found had run an unregistered event-contract facility, and whose investors include Founders Fund, Intercontinental Exchange and Donald Trump Jr.'s 1789 Capital.

Policy Analysis Market The Policy Analysis Market was a DARPA-funded 2003 futures market on Middle Eastern outcomes, within FutureMAP, which senators denounced as betting on terrorism on July 28, 2003 and the Pentagon abandoned the next day.

Ohio U.S. state whose Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Columbus research institute, 1966 and 1973 sightings, and 1970 Kent State shootings anchor a record of UFO files, intelligence contracts and campus violence.